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Gold Prices Higher As Federal Reserve Remains Firm, Sees 2. Gold prices are holding on to daily gains, trading just off session highs, despite a more optimistic Federal Reserve that still sees three rate hikes in 2018. 25 basis points, pushing the federal funds rate to a range between 1. The central bank continues to look past persistent weak inflation pressures as it expects to raise interest rates three times next year.
The biggest highlight from the central bank is that it sees the U. Gold prices were trading near session highs ahead of the monetary policy decision and are holding relatively steady. Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced, but the Committee is monitoring inflation developments closely. While the central bank is holding firm with its forecast of three rate hikes next year, some economists say that it could be a little too optimistic. Avery Shenfeld, senior economist at CIBC World Markets, said that they still see the central bank hike rates only twice next year. The “dot” forecasts were unchanged except for adding an extra hike in 2020, and still call for 3 quarter point hikes in 2018. We have doubts on that score, seeing both core PCE and growth below the Fed’s trajectory, and therefore expecting a pause in Q1, and only 2 hikes in 2018 overall.
The following is a recap of the Federal Reserve’s economic projections. In the latest interest rate projections, also known as the dot plots, the central bank’s median forecast is for interest rates to be around 2. In the long-term, the central bank sees interest rates at 3. Looking at growth, the Federal Reserve expects U. 2018, up from September’s forecast of 2.
Economic activity is expected to grow 2. The committee sees a relatively stable labor market for the next few years, hovering around 3. The unemployment rate is expected to hit 4. 2020, down from the previous estimate of 4. Despite persistently weak inflation pressures throughout the past year, the U. The projections show inflation rising 1.